Eurozone :
The war in Ukraine : a factor in the tightening of lending conditions for enterprises
Growth in outstanding bank loans to NFCs decelerated in March 2022 (4.2%, from 4.5% in February) for the first time since September 2021 (by way of comparison, real year-on-year GDP growth was 5% in Q1 2022, from 4.7% in Q4 2021 according to Eurostat’s preliminary estimate, masking a slowdown on a quarterly basis, +0,2% q/q in Q1 2022 against +0,3% q/q in Q4 2021). Because of a substantial comparison effect (between March and August 2021, the virtual cessation of new guaranteed loans to NFCs and a first wave of loan repayments put the brakes on growth in lending), the impulse of credit to NFCs (reflecting the change, over a year, of the annual growth in outstanding loans) continued to improve – whilst remaining negative – to -1.0% in March 2022, from -2.6% in February.
5/1/2022