The Economic Research Portal
My Account
FRENCH
FR
ENGLISH
EN
Economic Regions
Asia
+
Australia
China
South Korea
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Japan
Malaysia
Pakistan
Philippines
Singapore
Sri Lanka
Taiwan
Thailand
Vietnam
Central Asia
+
Azerbaijan
European Union
+
Germany
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Croatia
Denmark
Spain
Finland
France
Greece
Hungary
Italy
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Czech Republic
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Sweden
European union
Eurozone
North America
+
Canada
United States
Global
+
Global
Emerging countries
+
Emerging Countries
Sub-Sahara Africa
+
South Africa
Angola
Ivory coast
Ethiopia
Ghana
Kenya
Nigeria
Senegal
Somalia
Zambia
Middle East and North Africa
+
Algeria
Saudi Arabia
Egypt
United Arab Emirates
Israel
Lebanon
Morocco
Gulf countries
Qatar
Tunisia
Latin America
+
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Non-EU Europe
+
Norway
United Kingdom
Russia
Serbia
Switzerland
Türkiye
Ukraine
Thematics
Climate change
Sustainable finance
Fiscal policy
Emerging Economies
Developed economies
Financial markets and investments
Financial regulations
Monetary policy
International Trade
Banking economics
Employment and labour market
Economic growth
Inflation
Real estate
Consumption and purchasing power
Energy
Economic policy
Artificial intelligence
PUBLICATIONS
Charts of the Week
Eco Brief
Eco Charts
Eco Conjoncture
Eco Emerging
Eco Flash
Eco Insight
Eco Perspectives
Eco Pulse
Eco Week
French Economy Pocket Atlas
Scenario and forecasts
Special Edition
Media Library
EcoTV
EcoTV Week
Podcast - Macro Waves
Subscription
Who are we?
Scenario and forecasts
Home >
Scenario and forecasts
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic research
1
Results,
Refine search
Publication type
Scenario and forecasts
Month
March 2025
Zones
Global
Countries
Global
Teams
Economists
Thematics
Economic growth
Scenario and forecasts March 3, 2025
Global
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 3 March 2025
03/03/2025 •
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic research
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic research
CONFIDENTIALITY RESTRICTIONS
THE COUNTRY RISK REPORTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR HIGH LEVEL CLIENTS IN A SEMI-CONFIDENTIAL VERSION
The country risk reports written by the Emerging Economies and Country risk team are available in two versions:
- a confidential version.
In this case, the mention "CONFIDENTIAL"
appears
on the top right of the first page. This version is strictly for internal use i.e. for orienting the credit policy of the bank vis a vis the country considered;
- a "semi-confidential".
In this case, the mention "CONFIDENTIAL"
does not appear.
This version is available to BNP Paribas staff, who can, if they wish, give it to their preferred clients for the purpose of solidifying their relationship.
This "semi-confidential" version mention on the bottom of the first page
"DOCUMENT INTENDED FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION. REPRODUCTION WITHOUT PRIOR AUTHORISATION FROM BNP PARIBAS IS FORBIDDEN".
This semi-confidential version is not a public version (specifically, it does not appear on the BNP Paribas Internet site) because:
- the frankness of the analysis of the countries studied is only possible if the country report is not in the public domain;
- this frankness is a non negligible part of the value-added of the document;
- the recipient of the document will be all the more satisfied knowing that its distribution is strictly limited to a privileged clientele.
We hope that the "semi-confidential" version will be distributed by yourself and not directly by the economic research department.
If you wish to be on a mailing list to receive our country risk reports upon publication directly in your mail, please contact our department secretary : Christine Liard (Tel. : 33 (0)1-43-16-95-49)
Economic news
Friday, March 7, 2025
Charts of the Week
Eurozone: stimulated by lower interest rates, new loans to households and businesses continued to increase in January 2025
Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Eco Week
Emerging countries: financial vulnerability is lower than it once was
Monday, March 3, 2025
Scenario and forecasts
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 3 March 2025
Thursday, February 27, 2025
Charts of the Week
Emerging markets: which sovereign debts are most vulnerable to rising global financial volatility?
Wednesday, February 26, 2025
Eco Flash
February inflation: sharp drop expected in France, stability in the rest of the Eurozone
Monday, February 24, 2025
Eco Flash
German election: A government by Easter?
Eco Week
Ukraine Ceasefire: What Are the Economic Implications for Europe?
Thursday, February 20, 2025
Charts of the Week
Is the United States so disadvantaged in terms of customs duty?
EcoTV
Germany: after the elections, a wind of change?
Eco Week
French growth: is the worst over?
Friday, February 14, 2025
EcoTV
2019 - 2024: Debts in face of crises
Wednesday, February 12, 2025
Charts of the Week
US tariff offensive: a (non-exhaustive) risk map
Tuesday, February 11, 2025
Charts of the Week
United States: ’What's up with long-term rates?
Eco Emerging
New publication
Eco Perspectives
World trade: waiting for the audit
Monday, February 10, 2025
Eco Pulse
EcoPulse | February 2025
Eco Week
Five Reasons Trumponomics Need not Weaken Europe, Even the Opposite
Friday, February 7, 2025
Eco Conjoncture
New publication
Thursday, February 6, 2025
Eco Flash
France: trade deficit down and current account nearly in balance
Wednesday, February 5, 2025
Eco Insight
Eurozone: The increase in the credit impulse prevented a contraction in GDP in Q4 2024
Tuesday, February 4, 2025
Charts of the Week
Central Europe: Moving up the value chain
Eco Week
To bring down oil prices, Trump must take little action and stay patient
Friday, January 31, 2025
Eco Charts
Inflation tracker - January 2025 | Inflation is rising: should we be worried?
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
Eco Week
Eurozone: a few reasons for the high saving rate
Monday, January 27, 2025
Eco Flash
FOMC: Time for a Pause
Thursday, January 23, 2025
Eco Brief
EcoBrief becomes EcoFlash
Eco Brief
French growth: still (slightly) positive?
Charts of the Week
US vs. Eurozone: bank capital requirements are hardly comparable
Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Eco Brief
United Kingdom: the downturn in the labour market is becoming clearer and reinforces rate cuts
Eco Week
Could Trump drive down the dollar?
Thursday, January 16, 2025
Charts of the Week
European public accounts: the great post-Covid divide
Monday, January 13, 2025
Eco Brief
US employment and bond rates: A turbulent week
Eco Week
Intrinsic instability
Wednesday, January 8, 2025
Charts of the Week
Has households' purchasing power returned to its pre-inflation level?
Tuesday, January 7, 2025
Eco Week
Happy New Year?
Monday, December 23, 2024
Charts of the Week
Is extending loan maturities an effective way to improve access to home ownership?
Friday, December 20, 2024
Eco Brief
Bank of England: no change, but more fears about economic activity
Thursday, December 19, 2024
Eco Brief
United States | FOMC: End of the cutting cycle?
EcoTV
FED-ECB: 2025, the great decoupling?
Wednesday, December 18, 2024
Eco Perspectives
Editorial | How different will 2025 be from 2024?
Charts of the Week
Sub-Saharan Africa: China's credit rebound is an illusion
Special Edition
Bi-annual Conference | The economic consequences of Donald Trump’s return
Tuesday, December 17, 2024
Eco Week
How different will 2025 be from 2024? | Also in EcoPerspectives this week, with the underlying analysis
Friday, December 13, 2024
EcoTV
Customs duties, how effective?
Eco Brief
Eurozone: The ECB’s gradualist approach
French Economy Pocket Atlas
French Economy Pocket Atlas - December 2024
Tuesday, December 10, 2024
Eco Week
Private debt in emerging countries: averages are misleading
Monday, December 9, 2024
Charts of the Week
The eurozone is exporting its savings. But is it investing them advantageously?
Monday, December 2, 2024
Eco Week
To fragment or not to fragment (the global economy), that is the question
Friday, November 29, 2024
Eco Pulse
EcoPulse | November 2024