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Scenario and forecasts
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Scenario and forecasts
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic research
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Scenario and forecasts June 22, 2026
Global
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 22 June 2026
06/22/2026 •
Scenario and forecasts June 15, 2026
Global
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 15 June 2026
06/15/2026 •
Scenario and forecasts April 20, 2026
Global
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 20 April 2026
04/20/2026 •
The updated economic scenario and forecasts of the Economic research
CONFIDENTIALITY RESTRICTIONS
THE COUNTRY RISK REPORTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR HIGH LEVEL CLIENTS IN A SEMI-CONFIDENTIAL VERSION
The country risk reports written by the Emerging Economies and Country risk team are available in two versions:
- a confidential version.
In this case, the mention "CONFIDENTIAL"
appears
on the top right of the first page. This version is strictly for internal use i.e. for orienting the credit policy of the bank vis a vis the country considered;
- a "semi-confidential".
In this case, the mention "CONFIDENTIAL"
does not appear.
This version is available to BNP Paribas staff, who can, if they wish, give it to their preferred clients for the purpose of solidifying their relationship.
This "semi-confidential" version mention on the bottom of the first page
"DOCUMENT INTENDED FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION. REPRODUCTION WITHOUT PRIOR AUTHORISATION FROM BNP PARIBAS IS FORBIDDEN".
This semi-confidential version is not a public version (specifically, it does not appear on the BNP Paribas Internet site) because:
- the frankness of the analysis of the countries studied is only possible if the country report is not in the public domain;
- this frankness is a non negligible part of the value-added of the document;
- the recipient of the document will be all the more satisfied knowing that its distribution is strictly limited to a privileged clientele.
We hope that the "semi-confidential" version will be distributed by yourself and not directly by the economic research department.
If you wish to be on a mailing list to receive our country risk reports upon publication directly in your mail, please contact our department secretary : Christine Liard (Tel. : 33 (0)1-43-16-95-49)
Economic news
Thursday, June 25, 2026
Eco Flash
German Investment Plans: Reasons to Stay Optimistic
Eco Charts
Inflation Tracker - June 2026 | Global inflation remains under pressure but signs of stabilisation emerge
Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Eco Charts
Energy shock: Dashboard 2026 vs. 2022
Charts of the Week
Latin America: Adding Value to Critical Minerals Beyond Mining
Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Eco Flash
Presidential Election in Colombia: A 180 Degree Turn
Monday, June 22, 2026
Eco Week
U.S.- Iran Memorandum of Understanding: To what extent has it improved the economic outlook?
Scenario and forecasts
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 22 June 2026
Thursday, June 18, 2026
Eco Insight
United States: A drop of oil in the Treasuries market’s gears
Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Charts of the Week
A decade after the referendum, the UK is facing the consequences of Brexit
Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Eco Flash
Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz: the oil market between short-term relief and persisting uncertainties
Monday, June 15, 2026
Eco Week
The Fed Under Pressure: A Test with Global Stakes
Scenario and forecasts
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 15 June 2026
Friday, June 12, 2026
Eco Flash
ECB: An adjustment, but not necessarily the start of a tightening cycle
Thursday, June 11, 2026
Podcast - Macro Waves
Conflict in the Middle East: analysis of the consequences for advanced economies
Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Charts of the Week
The US regulatory easing offers limited support to the Treasuries market
Monday, June 8, 2026
Eco Week
Europe’s Quiet Metamorphosis, Powered by Five Underappreciated Boosters
Thursday, June 4, 2026
EcoTV
Germany: Despite the shocks, growth is picking up
Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Charts of the Week
In Latin America, the energy crisis is expected to have a moderate impact on public finances
Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Eco Perspectives
Chartpack: Advanced Economies Facing the Risk of Stagflation
Monday, June 1, 2026
Eco Week
Competitive banks for a sovereign Europe
Thursday, May 28, 2026
Eco Charts
Inflation Tracker - May 2026
EcoTV
Although the Eurozone is ageing, it is not doomed to decline
Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Charts of the Week
United States: Labour productivity growth set to continue
Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Eco Week
Maintaining potential as we age: The case of the Eurozone
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Charts of the Week
Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: the oil market soon to run out of options
Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Eco Charts
Energy shock: Dashboard 2026 vs. 2022
Monday, May 18, 2026
Eco Week
Up against China’s industrial surge, Europe has strengths but is seeking a strategy
Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Charts of the Week
The impact of the energy crisis on public finances in emerging Asia
Monday, May 11, 2026
Eco Week
China’s 15th Five-Year Plan: prioritising power over addressing imbalances
Thursday, May 7, 2026
EcoTV
Can eased capital rules push US banks back into mortgage lending — out of non-banks' shadow?
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
Charts of the Week
France: inflation is starting to spread but is still sparing consumer goods and services
Tuesday, May 5, 2026
Eco Week
Four central banks and just as many shades of status quo
Thursday, April 30, 2026
Eco Flash
Four Central Banks on “Active Hold”
Eco Flash
France: one-off factors largely account for zero growth in Q1
Podcast - Macro Waves
How can Europe attain energy sovereignty?
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Charts of the Week
Italy's Strategic Import Risk: Same Exposure as Europe, Deeper Fault Lines in Energy
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
Eco Charts
Inflation Tracker - April 2026
EcoTV
Türkiye: export competitiveness under pressure
Monday, April 27, 2026
Eco Week
Energy shock: The four keys to Central Europe’s resilience
Eco Perspectives
2026-2027 Economic outlook: Advanced economies facing the risk of stagflation
Friday, April 24, 2026
Eco Insight
Middle East Conflict: Moderate Impact on Advanced Economies So Far, but High Uncertainty Remains
Wednesday, April 22, 2026
Charts of the Week
France: How has the rise in interest rates since 2022 affected household financial investment flows?
Tuesday, April 21, 2026
Eco Charts
GDP Growth: Nowcasts and estimates
Monday, April 20, 2026
Eco Week
IMF Spring Meetings: Coming to terms with multiple regime changes with Realism, Resilience and Rewiring
Scenario and forecasts
The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 20 April 2026
Friday, April 17, 2026
Eco Charts
Energy shock: Dashboard 2026 vs. 2022
Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Charts of the Week
Latin America: more exposed to inflationary pressures than to disruptions in hydrocarbon supplies
Tuesday, April 14, 2026
Eco Flash
Elections in Hungary: a strong mandate to tackle economic challenges
EcoTV
Gulf countries: A severe shock, but strong fundamentals
Monday, April 13, 2026
Eco Week
World Economy: How To Take Stock in the Midst of Unfolding Chaos?
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