In Ethiopia, the coronavirus pandemic triggered an economic crisis that has jeopardised the country’s development model of the past decade. Belated reforms, major logistics costs and a shortage of foreign currency have sharply slowed economic modernisation. Civil war in the Tigray region also threatens the country’s political stability and worsens the humanitarian crisis [...]
Ethiopia is expected to report its lowest growth rate since 2003. Although the population has been relatively spared by the brunt of the Covid-19 pandemic, the cyclical economic environment has deteriorated sharply. The country has been hard hit by both a domestic shock and a decline in external revenues, which is squeezing its structurally low foreign reserves [...]
In order to support economic growth, the Ethiopian government is transitioning from the traditional debt investment strategy to a foreign equity-based one, by privatizing some state-owned entities and removing foreign investments’ barriers. The recently approved IMF program is targeted to address foreign-exchange shortages as well as to contain debt vulnerabilities by strengthening state-owned enterprises management [...]
In the midst of an economic transformation, Ethiopia is the fastest growing country in Sub-Saharan Africa, thanks to major public infrastructure investments. But this robust activity hides major macroeconomic imbalances and the vulnerability of the country to fluctuating weather conditions and commodity prices. Low foreign exchange reserves and high current account deficits remain a major source of concern despite the birr’s recent devaluation against the dollar [...]