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On the Same Theme

Emerging Countries Team 1/26/2022
The Emerging countries team presents its focus for 2022. All year long you will be able to read, listen and watch the publications of its economists on countries such as China, Brazil, Egypt, India or Russia.
Monetary tightening in emerging countries 11/5/2021
Monetary stance is tightening in Emerging Europe and Latam. The reason: inflation resurgence. This may seem premature at this stage since activity in these countries has just come back to its pre- Covid shock.  Is it justified and what are the consequences ?
Emerging Countries: a still fragile recovery 7/9/2021
The recovery trend is confirmed in EM remains fragile. Household confidence indicators are lagging behind those of business sentiment. Reasons are new waves of contamination, acceleration in inflation and impoverishment caused by the pandemic.
Emerging countries: speed races 4/16/2021
In their spring outlook, the IMF economists expect to see a multi-speed and incomplete recovery of the global economy in 2021. Indeed, speed is the key word for 2021 because the emerging countries are racing against time on several fronts.
Moratorium or debt cancellation? 4/24/2020
According to Eurodad, without a suspension of external debt payments, the debt-to-GDP ratio of the very low income countries will increase to 14 pp. So far, official supports have taken the form of a suspension of payments. Why not favor debt cancellation?  
Kazakhstan : Tenge free-float turns to a strong depreciation 9/16/2015
Kazakh Tenge lost one third of its value in one month. The net creditor position of the government (about 35% of GDP) does not compensate for the negative effects of the fall in the oil prices and the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan that took place only days before the decision of Kazakh authorities to free float their currency. This decision improves the financial leeway of the government, but its stimulus capacity may be dampened by the rates’ tightening, inevitable to stabilize the exchange market. The devaluation undermines the banking sector which remains highly dollarized. To avoid a deposit run, the National Bank committed to compensate the loss due to the devaluation to the households who will keep their deposits until September 2016.
Exchange rates of Emerging countries 8/26/2015
Owing to the fall in the commodity prices, exchange rates of commodity-exporting emerging countries are caught in downward spiral. Exchange rates of commodity-importing emerging are much less impacted. But, regarding the impact on growth, it will remain a negative-sum game.

ABOUT US Three teams of economists (OECD countries research, emerging economies and country risk, banking economics) make up BNP Paribas Economic Research Department.
This website presents their analyses.
The website contains 1785 articles and 354 videos