Private consumption has played a greater role in the Chinese economy in recent years, but this growth engine remains fragile. At a time when the export sector is hurt by US protectionist measures and weak global demand, China is seeking other solid sources of growth. Yet private consumption growth is slowing and is likely to be disappointing in the short and medium terms. A catching-up dynamic should continue, supported by urbanization, an ageing population and action of the government, which strives to reduce income inequality, improve housing affordability and further strengthen the social protection system. owever, these structural changes will take time
Job polarization describes the structural deformation of the job market in which the share of jobs increases at the top and bottom of the skills ladder and decreases for middling jobs. In theory, job polarization is U shaped. Empirical data easily shows a decline in the share of jobs in the middle distribution (the bottom of the U), as well as an increase in the most skilled jobs (right side of the U). This J-shaped semi-polarization is symptomatic of an “upgrading” effect, i.e. the overall rise in the level of education and skills attainment. The left side of the U, in contrast, which represents the increase in the share of low-skilled jobs, is often less developed and sometimes non-existent. In France, job polarization is more or less apparent depending on the study
