The latest economic indicators still send a mixed signal. The months pass but nothing seems to change. While GDP growth is declining (+0.2% q/q in Q2 2019 after +0.4% in Q1), activity in manufacturing remains subdued and the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) of this sector is well below its long-term average. Conversely, the services sector resists and the PMI is globally in line with expectations. In this environment, headline inflation remains pretty far from the 2% target, and surprised to the downside. The core component of the CPI keeps oscillating around only 1% (+0.9% in July).
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